niedziela, 30 stycznia 2011

Trendy na dziś

NBA Hot Teams
-- Thunder is 7-4 in last 11 games as home favorite, but they're 1-4-1 as home favorite of 5 or less points.
-- Celtics won seven of last nine games; they're 4-2 as a road dog.
-- Orlando covered six of last nine as a home favorite.
-- Nuggets won/covered their last four games. 76ers won three of last four games, covered five of last six.
-- Pistons are 7-3 as road underdog of less than 7 points.
-- Hornets are 10-1-1 as road underdog of less than 5 points. Suns won four of their last five home games.
Cold Teams
-- Miami lost five of its last seven games.
-- Lakers are 5-9 vs spread in their last 14 home games.
-- Cleveland lost its last 19 games; they're 5-8-1 as double digit dog.
-- Knicks lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Jazz lost six of their last seven games. Golden State lost its last four games, allowing 114.8 ppg.

Totals
-- Five of last six Miami road games went over the total.
-- Last five Boston road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Cleveland games.
-- Over is 8-3 in Denver's last eleven road games.
-- Six of last seven Detroit road games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-2 in Utah's last ten road games.
Back-to-Back
-- New Orleans is 3-2 vs spread if playing on road second consecutive night; they're 1-2 vs spread if they lost night before.

sobota, 29 stycznia 2011

Trendy na dziś

Who’s hot
The New Orleans Hornets are 8-0 ATS in their last eight road games and have won 10 straight overall. Their run should continue as they face the Sacramento Kings, a team that is just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games against winning teams. The Hornets are current a six-point favorite.
Hot Teams w NBA
-- Bulls won/covered seven of their last eight games.
-- Grizzlies won four of their last five games.
-- Spurs won 10 of last 11 games, covered seven of last nine.
-- Milwaukee won its last two games but is 3-6-1 vs spread in last ten games as a home favorite.
-- Hawks covered four of their last five as a road underdog. Mavericks won four of last five, but covered just two of last eight as home fave.
-- New Orleans won its last ten games, covered three of last four.
-- Bobcats won/covered their last three games.
Cold Teams w NBA
-- Pacers lost six of their last seven games, are 4-9-1 in last 14 games as a road underdog.
-- Wizards are 0-22 on road, 6-16 vs spread, 6-3 if getting 9+ points.
-- Minnesota lost its last six games, covered last two. Toronto lost last 10 games, covering one of last five.
-- Rockets are 3-6 vs spread in last nine games as road underdog.
-- Nets are 3-7 vs spread in last ten games as road underdog.
-- Kings lost three of last four games, but they beat the Lakers last nite.
-- Clippers lost three of their last four games.
Totals w NBA
-- Five of last six Chicago games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Memphis games stayed under total. Over is 5-2 in last seven Washington games.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Houston games went over the total.
-- Four of last five New Jersey road games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Atlanta games.
-- Five of last six Sacramento games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Charlotte games went over the total.
Back-to-Back w NBA
-- Bulls are 3-4 vs spread if they won the night before.
-- Memphis is 8-3-1 vs spread if it played night before. Wizards are 4-3 vs spread if they lost the night before.
-- Minnesota is 6-3 vs spread if it played the night before. Raptors are 6-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Home team is 1-9 vs spread if Bucks played night before; Milwaukee is 0-4 vs spread at home if they played night before. Nets are 7-4.
-- Hawks are 6-2 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Kings are 5-2-1 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Bobcats are 8-6 if they played night before, 3-3 if they won.

Podsumowanie typów

Ostatnie typy nie aż takie złe. Jeśli chodzi o typ na noc, to kolejny sukces !. Chicago Bulls bowiem wygrało z Orlando 99-90, a podawałem handicap +1, mamy zatem piąty z rzędu trafny typ: 3 z NHL i 2 z NBA. Natomiast z remisów, padł tylko jeden, ale może jutro będzie lepiej...

piątek, 28 stycznia 2011

Typ na noc

Dziś proponuję jedno spotkanie w NBA, pomiędzy Chicago Bulls i Orlando Magic. Przewiduję iż, Byki przegrają najwyżej jednym punktem, licząc także możliwą dogrywkę.
Typ na dziś:
Chicago Bulls hdc +1

Trendy na dziś

Trendy na dziś:
Who’s hot?
Fairfield Stags – They’ve won three straight games and are 9-1 SU in their last 10 outings, posting a 5-2 ATS mark in their last seven lined games. The Stags host the Manhattan Jaspers as 20.5-point home favorites Friday.
Who’s not?
Cleveland Cavaliers – The Cavs have lost 18 straight games, managing a 4-14 ATS record during this skid. Cleveland, however, is getting a pile of points in recent games and is 2-1 ATS in its last three outings. The Cavs host the Denver Nuggets as 10-point underdogs Friday.
Hot Teams w NBA
-- 76ers covered seven of last ten as a home favorite. Memphis is 13-3 vs spread in last 16 games as road dog, but is without suspended Mayo for this game and nine more after that.
-- Nets won four of last five games, but are 4-12 vs spread in last 16 as a road underdog.
-- Pistons are 6-4 vs spread in last ten games as a road underdog.
-- Nuggets won/covered seven of their last nine games.
-- Chicago won/covered six of its last seven games. Orlando won four of its last five games.
-- Thunder is 7-3 vs spread in last ten games as a home favorite.
-- Sacramento is 5-1-1 vs spread in its last seven road games. Lakers are 10-2 in last dozen games, 5-3 vs spread in last eight as home favorite.
-- Celtics won seven of their last eight games.
-- Bobcats won four of their last five games.
Cold Teams w NBA
-- Toronto lost its last eight games (1-3 vs spread in last four). Bucks are 2-4 vs spread as a road favorite.
-- Indiana lost its last six games, but they are 6-1-1 in last eight games as a home favorite.
-- Miami lost five of its last six games.
-- Knicks lost five of last six road games, but are 14-5-1 as road dogs. Atlanta is 6-14 vs spread as a home favorite.
-- Cavaliers covered twice in last nine games as a home underdog.
-- Washington is 0-21 on road, 5-16 vs spread, 5-3 if getting 9+ points.
-- Utah lost its last six games, all by 7+ points. Minnesota lost its last five games (1-4 vs spread).
-- Suns lost their last three games, by 1-7-10 points.
-- Warriors lost last three games, allowing 113-113-112 points.

Posumowanie połowy sezonu w NHL

We have reached the All-Star Break, and the NHL, as usual, is not without its share of storylines. Sidney Crosby and Alexander Ovechkin are not on first-place teams, the Blackhawks are traveling a tough road back to a repeat, and Canada is abuzz with the Canucks and their possible bid for a championship.

It should be interesting the rest of the way. But, in the interim, here are the best and worst bets in the NHL so far this season:

Biggest surprise team (good): Tampa Bay Lightning (31-15-5)

Seven years ago, the Lightning appeared on the verge of a dynasty. They had just won the Stanley Cup over Calgary, and with a young nucleus of forwards – Vincent Lecavalier, Martin St. Louis, and Brad Richards – playing at a time when the Eastern Conference was a bit down, it seemed the possibilities were endless.

It never panned out. There were injuries, there were coaching changes, there were defections, there were daily reminders about just how tough it is to keep a good thing going in the NHL.

But this time, they may have it figured out. Lecavalier and St. Louis remain, but Steven Stamkos is now the straw that stirs the drink. He has 38 goals, St. Louis has 40 assists and the Lightning, despite the presence of the high-flying Washington Capitals in the Southeast Division, are in first place. And if the season ended today, they’d be the No. 2 seed in the East.

Biggest surprise team (bad): New Jersey Devils (16-30-3)

Listen, all teams in all leagues go through losing phases. Eventually, the Devils – with their three Stanley Cups across 15 seasons of Eastern Conference dominance – were going to have to take some lumps.

But this many? They had to change coaches in December, John MacLean out, Jacques Lemaire in. They had to trade their captain, Jamie Langenbrunner, back to Dallas. And they still have to answer questions about the off-again, on-again contract of Ilya Kovalchuk that has cast a dark cloud over the entire franchise.

The Devils, even with a late, little run of success into the All-Star Break, are still the worst team in the league, 22 points out of a playoff spot. There is little hope for this season, and with an undesirable salary-cap future, thanks to Kovalchuk, it may get worse before it gets better in Newark.

Best over team: Phoenix Coyotes (30-19)

There are some candidates who tried to win this award -- the Islanders and Hurricanes among them -- but a late, impressive over run headed into the break leaves the Coyotes alone at the podium.

Phoenix, which defeated Colorado, 5-2, on Wednesday night to end the first half, closed with overs in nine of their last 10 games. It doesn’t get much better than that for totals players.

Ilya Bryzgalov has been OK in net overall for Phoenix, but with a 2.64 goals-against average, he’s giving his offense a chance to secure overs seemingly every night. And gritty, veteran forwards, like Ray Whitney and Shane Doan, have taken advantage. The Coyotes have seven players with at least 25 points. Not bad.

Best under team: Washington Capitals (14-36)

A runaway winner, and it’s not hard to see why. They are overvalued far too often. The presence of Alexander Ovechkin, and the perceived lack of goaltending experience and skill, makes them an easy over target for the general betting public.

The oddsmakers are then forced to overcompensate, the totals then become affected, and, in the end, it becomes even harder for the Capitals to help their bettors cash in.

There is plenty of hockey left, and let’s face it: It’s not like the Capitals, in second place in the Southeast, are hurting for points. But when you close the first half with two losses in three days – in which you scored one total goal – it’s going to be tough to shed the under label anytime soon.

Best ATS team: New York Islanders (32-17)

The Islanders are bad, and they’re going to stay bad for a while. But they have youth, they have spunk and if you’ve watched them at all this season, you know they do not quit.

Which makes them a perfect play for spread bettors, as you often get more than a goal with this team. And while they lose plenty, they often lose by a goal, be it in overtime or in regulation, and they’ve even been known to win a few games, here and there. They had four victories in January, and three losses by one goal.

The addition of goaltender Evgeni Nabokov, who declined to join the team, would have helped. But just the fact that they went after him, shows you this team is not accepting failure, in the front office and on the ice. Keep them on your radar.

Worst ATS team: Washington Capitals (17-34)

The value factor comes into play yet again. This team gets far too much public love, and they are then placed with lines they just cannot top on a nightly basis.

No team – whether it has Ovechkin or not – can beat 1.5-goal spreads with ultra-consistency in today’s game, and the Capitals are proof. And to make matters worse, Washington has gone on some horrendous losing streaks. The Capitals lost seven games, in fact, in January alone, and were shut out three times in that span.

Best home bet: Vancouver Canucks (17-3-5)

Is this the year? Can the Canucks shake their shaky playoff past, and win a Stanley Cup that Canada has been waiting for since 1993? To be determined.

What’s important for the bettor right now, is that the Canucks are dominant at home. And you should jump on the bandwagon.

Goaltender Roberto Luongo, with 23 wins, appears motivated this season, and forward Ryan Kesler, with 27 goals, is having a breakout season that most people aren’t aware of.

If the season ended today, Vancouver would be the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference and would be able to test that home-ice dominance through at least three rounds.

Worst home bet: Edmonton Oilers (7-13-4)

This is a bit of a surprise. The Oilers are very young, and can be overwhelmed at times, sure.

But on their ice, with their fans, one would think they’d be able to win a few more games during the marathon that is the NHL season, just by virtue of so many teams having to travel so far to play in Edmonton.

Looking back, January is what killed this team. The Oilers went 1-5 at home this month, with the only victory, a 2-1 decision over the Islanders.

Best road bet: Philadelphia Flyers (17-5-3)

They’re pretty good at home, too, but when they get on the road, the Flyers flex their depth and just take over. No matter who is in goal, Philadelphia will always be able to roll out four lines, and now that Chris Pronger is back on defense, the sky is the limit.

Philadelphia posted six road wins in January, including impressive ones over Detroit and Chicago, and lost just two games in the month … total.

There’s a lot of talk in Pennsylvania these days about an Eastern Conference final between the Flyers and Penguins. That indeed would be a treat. And if you’re looking that far down the road, keep in mind, the Flyers opened this season Oct. 7, with a 3-2 road win ... at Pittsburgh.

Worst road bet: New Jersey Devils (7-17-1)

Last game of the first half is a perfect example. The Devils, fighting for every point they can get and on a four-game winning streak, stroll into Detroit … and lose, 3-1.

When you have young players on defense, which the Devils do, and a lack of consistent scoring, which they Devils do, it’s tough to win on the road in this league.

And now, the games are going to get even more serious, as teams prep for the playoffs. Look for the Devils to remain victims in this scenario.

Remisy na dziś

Dziś cztery spotkania potencjalnie remisowe:
Gateshead - AFC Wimbledon : X (Anglia 5)
Empoli - Varese : X (Włochy 2)
Alcorcon AD - Albacete : X (Hiszpania 2)
Académica - Vitoria Setúbal : X (Portugalia puchar)